Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Crystal Palace with a 17.0% chance and Hull City beat Liverpool with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 6 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 76.0% | 0% | −76.0 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 28.7% | 85.9% | +57.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 65.0% | 100% | +35.0 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 60.7% | 27.1% | −33.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 31.0% | 0% | −31.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 49.5% | 76.6% | +27.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 71.5% | 96.4% | +24.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 76.5% | 100% | +23.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 20.4% | 0% | −20.4 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 0.1% | 14.1% | +14.0 |
