Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Tottenham with a 12.1% chance and Leicester City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 7 (before the first match) against those on April 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 34.1% | 7.8% | −26.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 50.2% | 26.0% | −24.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 75.1% | 56.0% | −19.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 20.1% | 38.9% | +18.8 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 60.6% | 75.3% | +14.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 71.7% | 83.0% | +11.3 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 26.9% | 35.3% | +8.5 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 77.3% | 85.4% | +8.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 64.3% | 71.6% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 90.2% | 96.0% | +5.8 |
