Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat West Ham with a 24.9% chance and Queens Park Rangers beat West Bromwich Albion with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 22 (before the first match) against those on April 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 17.7% | 31.0% | +13.3 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 16.2% | 28.7% | +12.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 77.3% | 89.1% | +11.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 87.7% | 76.5% | −11.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 21.2% | 10.6% | −10.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 30.9% | 20.4% | −10.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 63.8% | 71.5% | +7.7 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 83.4% | 76.0% | −7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 16.3% | 8.9% | −7.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 92.0% | 98.5% | +6.4 |
