Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Stoke City with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 16 (before the first match) against those on March 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.4% | 16.3% | −25.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 59.1% | 77.3% | +18.2 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 36.2% | 21.2% | −15.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 49.2% | 63.8% | +14.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 85.6% | 92.0% | +6.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 13.4% | 7.6% | −5.8 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 52.2% | 58.0% | +5.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 41.8% | 44.9% | +3.1 |
