Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Sunderland with a 21.5% chance and Burnley beat Manchester City with a 12.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 7 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 13.3% | 32.4% | +19.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 33.7% | 17.6% | −16.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 77.4% | 61.8% | −15.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.8% | 7.9% | −10.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 76.7% | 85.3% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 51.3% | 59.1% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.6% | 41.4% | +6.8 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 46.5% | 52.2% | +5.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 11.2% | 6.3% | −4.9 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 79.5% | 83.9% | +4.4 |
