Round 28

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Aston VillaRelegation52.3%36.3%−16.0
Queens Park RangersRelegation62.3%70.5%+8.3
Manchester UnitedChampions League47.6%53.3%+5.7
BurnleyRelegation73.0%78.6%+5.6
Leicester CityRelegation75.7%80.5%+4.8
LiverpoolChampions League38.4%34.1%−4.3
LiverpoolEuropa League45.8%49.5%+3.7
ChelseaChampion83.9%87.5%+3.6
West HamEuropa League4.4%1.3%−3.1
SunderlandRelegation17.2%14.1%−3.1
Home 40.0%
Draw 29.5%
Away 30.4%
Home 44.1%
Draw 27.9%
Away 27.9%
Home 60.0%
Draw 22.2%
Away 17.7%
Home 79.1%
Draw 16.1%
Away 4.8%
Home 31.0%
Draw 29.9%
Away 39.1%
Home 16.1%
Draw 21.3%
Away 62.6%
Home 44.1%
Draw 28.0%
Away 27.9%
Home 56.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away 20.3%
Home 26.8%
Draw 27.3%
Away 45.9%
Home 75.7%
Draw 17.1%
Away 7.2%