Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Ham with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 22 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 40.0% | 96.9% | +56.9 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 77.9% | 29.0% | −49.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 14.8% | 57.4% | +42.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 40.1% | 3.0% | −37.0 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 37.5% | 1.2% | −36.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 42.8% | 76.5% | +33.7 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 65.7% | 96.5% | +30.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 48.9% | 18.3% | −30.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 64.1% | 94.4% | +30.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.6% | 1.3% | −28.3 |
