Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Tottenham with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Champions League | 61.2% | 71.3% | +10.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 49.3% | 39.8% | −9.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 58.1% | 67.3% | +9.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 21.3% | 14.2% | −7.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 81.3% | 74.6% | −6.7 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 42.6% | 48.6% | +6.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 26.1% | 20.3% | −5.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 15.5% | 21.0% | +5.4 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 9.6% | 15.0% | +5.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 15.2% | 10.6% | −4.6 |
