Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Crystal Palace with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 24.9% | 14.2% | −10.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.1% | 26.1% | −10.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.9% | 49.3% | +9.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 23.6% | 15.5% | −8.1 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 54.1% | 61.2% | +7.1 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 35.8% | 42.6% | +6.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 10.3% | 15.8% | +5.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 24.0% | 18.6% | −5.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.9% | 11.1% | −4.7 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 76.9% | 81.3% | +4.4 |
