Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Stoke City with a 9.1% chance and Manchester United beat Arsenal with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 74.6% | 63.7% | −11.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.8% | 30.3% | −9.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 20.3% | 12.2% | −8.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.5% | 23.3% | +7.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 18.4% | 11.7% | −6.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 16.8% | 23.1% | +6.2 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 19.8% | 25.9% | +6.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 67.3% | 73.5% | +6.1 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 63.6% | 69.4% | +5.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 21.0% | 26.6% | +5.7 |
