Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 76.6% | 64.7% | −11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.5% | 39.9% | +8.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 19.1% | 11.7% | −7.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 26.1% | 19.1% | −7.0 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 22.8% | 29.7% | +6.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.9% | 36.1% | −6.8 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 70.3% | 76.9% | +6.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 86.1% | 79.8% | −6.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 18.7% | 24.9% | +6.2 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 48.1% | 54.1% | +5.9 |
