Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Norwich City with a 21.3% chance, Southampton beat Liverpool with a 15.2% chance, and Hull City beat Newcastle with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 65.3% | 50.8% | −14.5 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 51.3% | 38.1% | −13.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.3% | 30.5% | −11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.3% | 11.2% | −11.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 54.8% | 63.7% | +8.8 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 56.1% | 64.2% | +8.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 54.8% | 62.8% | +8.0 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 21.9% | 14.3% | −7.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 52.1% | 59.3% | +7.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 50.2% | 56.8% | +6.7 |
