Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Aston Villa with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 59.5% | 50.2% | −9.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 39.0% | 48.2% | +9.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 27.4% | 18.7% | −8.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 43.4% | 52.1% | +8.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 48.2% | 56.1% | +7.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.8% | 13.2% | −6.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 48.4% | 54.8% | +6.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 59.6% | 65.3% | +5.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 22.4% | 27.4% | +5.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.7% | 22.3% | +4.6 |
