Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Manchester City with a 21.2% chance, Cardiff City beat Fulham with a 18.7% chance, and West Bromwich Albion beat Manchester United with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 50.8% | 38.9% | −11.9 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 38.1% | 27.8% | −10.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 63.7% | 53.8% | −9.9 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 35.7% | 26.5% | −9.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.5% | 39.5% | +9.0 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 62.8% | 71.7% | +8.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 64.2% | 72.7% | +8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 18.3% | 26.0% | +7.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 59.3% | 66.4% | +7.2 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 21.3% | 14.4% | −6.9 |
