Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat West Ham with a 20.1% chance and Swansea City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 25.5% | 43.4% | +17.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.0% | 45.0% | +16.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 71.8% | 59.6% | −12.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 36.3% | 48.2% | +11.9 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 47.5% | 35.9% | −11.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 27.5% | 17.7% | −9.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 56.9% | 48.4% | −8.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 6.6% | 14.4% | +7.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 34.6% | 27.4% | −7.1 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 11.8% | 4.8% | −7.0 |
