Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cardiff City beat Southampton with a 10.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 7 (before the first match) against those on May 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 88.0% | 3.3% | −84.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 25.1% | 96.8% | +71.7 |
| Everton | Europa League | 49.3% | 100% | +50.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.2% | 100% | +49.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 48.8% | 0% | −48.8 |
| Everton | Champions League | 48.0% | 0% | −48.0 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 45.2% | 5.7% | −39.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 56.3% | 94.3% | +38.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 52.4% | 83.7% | +31.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 79.3% | 100% | +20.7 |
