Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Aston Villa with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 31 (before the first match) against those on April 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.7% | 50.2% | −22.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 27.0% | 48.8% | +21.9 |
| Everton | Champions League | 27.5% | 48.0% | +20.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 67.9% | 49.3% | −18.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 18.6% | 3.8% | −14.8 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 12.2% | 25.1% | +12.8 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 84.6% | 96.7% | +12.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 76.0% | 88.0% | +12.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 89.2% | 79.3% | −9.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 14.0% | 4.1% | −9.8 |
