Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Ham with a 17.9% chance and Sunderland beat Chelsea with a 6.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 89.1% | 61.1% | −28.0 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 49.8% | 27.0% | −22.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 26.2% | 3.6% | −22.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 52.2% | 73.1% | +20.9 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 50.2% | 70.1% | +19.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 63.3% | 83.0% | +19.8 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 63.4% | 72.3% | +8.9 |
| Everton | Europa League | 71.1% | 74.7% | +3.6 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 3.5% | 0.1% | −3.5 |
