Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Chelsea with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 26 (before the first match) against those on March 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 49.6% | 18.6% | −31.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 32.2% | 13.6% | −18.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 59.7% | 76.0% | +16.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 16.6% | 30.7% | +14.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 74.3% | 61.4% | −12.9 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 30.9% | 42.0% | +11.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 16.9% | 27.5% | +10.6 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 79.8% | 89.2% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 81.9% | 72.7% | −9.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 17.8% | 27.0% | +9.2 |
