Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Norwich City with a 22.3% chance and Cardiff City beat Manchester City with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 63.8% | 51.6% | −12.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 25.6% | 36.5% | +10.9 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 54.1% | 45.0% | −9.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 46.2% | 37.3% | −8.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 39.7% | 47.0% | +7.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 21.4% | 14.4% | −7.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.3% | 36.0% | +6.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 56.3% | 61.6% | +5.2 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 11.7% | 7.1% | −4.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 6.4% | 10.5% | +4.1 |
