Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Bromwich Albion with a 24.7% chance and Hull City beat Sunderland with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 23.4% | 40.8% | +17.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 56.7% | 40.5% | −16.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 29.5% | 44.9% | +15.5 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 27.9% | 14.5% | −13.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 58.6% | 71.5% | +12.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 32.0% | 19.6% | −12.4 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 60.6% | 71.7% | +11.0 |
| Everton | Champions League | 25.2% | 14.4% | −10.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 49.7% | 59.0% | +9.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.2% | 25.5% | −8.7 |
