Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Newcastle with a 17.0% chance, Stoke City beat Manchester United with a 23.5% chance, and Chelsea beat Manchester City with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 29 (before the first match) against those on February 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 56.7% | 35.8% | −20.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 52.3% | 68.3% | +16.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 38.4% | 23.4% | −14.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 15.5% | 29.5% | +14.0 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 70.0% | 60.6% | −9.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 47.5% | 56.7% | +9.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 26.1% | 17.5% | −8.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 11.5% | 19.6% | +8.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 23.9% | 32.0% | +8.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 16.3% | 8.9% | −7.4 |
