Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Everton with a 7.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 4.4% | 63.3% | +58.8 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 40.8% | 89.1% | +48.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 40.5% | <0.1% | −40.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 20.1% | 50.2% | +30.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 71.5% | >99.9% | +28.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 25.5% | <0.1% | −25.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 22.9% | 0.3% | −22.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 30.5% | 10.6% | −20.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 6.8% | 26.6% | +19.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 92.8% | 73.2% | −19.7 |
