Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Arsenal with a 10.6% chance and Southampton beat West Bromwich Albion with a 16.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 42.5% | 25.5% | −17.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 60.1% | 71.8% | +11.7 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 53.4% | 64.2% | +10.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.6% | −10.2 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 19.0% | 10.0% | −9.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 22.0% | 13.4% | −8.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.3% | 10.8% | −7.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 20.2% | 27.5% | +7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 11.4% | 4.4% | −7.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 27.8% | 34.6% | +6.8 |
