Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 12.9% chance and Sunderland beat Manchester City with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 39.9% | 52.4% | +12.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 66.3% | 55.2% | −11.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.9% | 55.9% | +11.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.3% | 29.5% | −10.8 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 77.3% | 67.8% | −9.5 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 14.5% | 22.6% | +8.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 22.7% | 30.3% | +7.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 22.3% | 29.7% | +7.4 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.4% | +7.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 21.8% | 15.3% | −6.5 |
