Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Hull City with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.4% | 69.7% | +11.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 55.2% | 65.2% | +10.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.5% | 21.9% | −7.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 29.7% | 37.0% | +7.3 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 22.6% | 16.0% | −6.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 89.7% | 83.2% | −6.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 77.7% | 83.8% | +6.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 33.8% | 39.7% | +5.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 67.8% | 73.6% | +5.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 55.9% | 50.1% | −5.8 |
