Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Chelsea with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 74.5% | 61.9% | −12.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 26.9% | 16.2% | −10.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 28.4% | 37.9% | +9.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 56.9% | 66.3% | +9.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 35.8% | 44.9% | +9.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 31.6% | 22.7% | −8.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 73.8% | 81.4% | +7.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.4% | 39.9% | −7.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 16.6% | 9.2% | −7.4 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 29.1% | 22.3% | −6.8 |
