Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Stoke City with a 21.7% chance and Manchester City beat Manchester United with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 1 (before the first match) against those on April 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 48.1% | 24.7% | −23.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 57.3% | 71.5% | +14.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 30.5% | 44.6% | +14.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 67.7% | 54.5% | −13.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 39.3% | 27.8% | −11.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 57.2% | 67.7% | +10.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 17.7% | 27.1% | +9.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.1% | 26.3% | −8.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 31.1% | 38.4% | +7.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 60.7% | 66.0% | +5.3 |
