Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Newcastle with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 38.4% | 75.3% | +36.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 66.0% | 94.4% | +28.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 33.1% | 5.6% | −27.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 67.7% | 94.2% | +26.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 27.1% | 2.0% | −25.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 44.6% | 69.2% | +24.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 24.7% | 0.5% | −24.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 54.5% | 30.8% | −23.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 26.3% | 5.8% | −20.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 3.7% | 12.7% | +9.0 |
