Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Chelsea with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on April 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 82.5% | 60.7% | −21.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.5% | 36.2% | +19.7 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 47.4% | 31.1% | −16.3 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 33.8% | 48.1% | +14.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 54.6% | 67.7% | +13.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 42.3% | 30.5% | −11.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 12.4% | 3.2% | −9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.8% | 57.3% | +6.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 12.0% | 17.7% | +5.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 44.9% | 39.3% | −5.6 |
