Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat West Bromwich Albion with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 35.9% | 51.7% | +15.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 66.9% | 82.2% | +15.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.7% | 37.5% | −11.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 42.4% | 31.5% | −10.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 24.8% | 15.1% | −9.7 |
| Reading | Relegation | 80.3% | 71.9% | −8.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 34.8% | 42.9% | +8.1 |
| Everton | Europa League | 42.1% | 46.1% | +4.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 7.5% | 3.9% | −3.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 16.0% | 19.7% | +3.6 |
