Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat Newcastle with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on January 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | Relegation | 73.5% | 57.0% | −16.5 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 40.5% | 51.3% | +10.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 76.8% | 86.2% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.3% | 30.4% | −8.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 19.1% | 12.0% | −7.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 22.9% | 28.9% | +6.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 7.1% | 13.0% | +5.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 78.3% | 73.2% | −5.1 |
| Swansea City | Europa League | 9.4% | 14.3% | +4.9 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 20.2% | 24.9% | +4.7 |
