Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat West Bromwich Albion with a 23.1% chance and Queens Park Rangers beat Chelsea with a 6.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 30 (before the first match) against those on January 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 79.0% | 66.9% | −12.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 30.1% | 39.2% | +9.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 16.4% | 25.3% | +8.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 87.9% | 79.3% | −8.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.5% | 24.8% | +8.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 42.8% | 50.4% | +7.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Europa League | 25.3% | 18.0% | −7.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 73.5% | 80.2% | +6.6 |
| Reading | Relegation | 74.4% | 80.3% | +5.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 15.5% | 21.4% | +5.9 |
