Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Swansea City with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 3 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 39.0% | 22.9% | −16.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 53.0% | 68.8% | +15.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 50.4% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 55.4% | 45.2% | −10.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.3% | 35.9% | −8.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 24.9% | 16.7% | −8.1 |
| Reading | Relegation | 59.6% | 66.3% | +6.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.8% | 38.1% | +6.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 23.9% | 29.9% | +6.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 16.7% | 22.2% | +5.5 |
