Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 14.1% chance and Queens Park Rangers beat Fulham with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 11 (before the first match) against those on January 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 32.1% | 51.0% | +18.9 |
| Everton | Europa League | 27.0% | 45.4% | +18.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 35.3% | 52.4% | +17.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 45.1% | 28.5% | −16.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 61.2% | 76.8% | +15.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.3% | 41.4% | +13.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 15.9% | 3.0% | −12.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 68.1% | 78.3% | +10.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 13.4% | 4.4% | −9.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 90.7% | 98.7% | +8.0 |
