Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Chelsea with a 21.9% chance, Swansea City beat Arsenal with a 17.5% chance, and Stoke City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.3% | 44.3% | +15.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.7% | 50.4% | −12.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 42.9% | 31.8% | −11.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 42.5% | 53.0% | +10.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 32.5% | 24.9% | −7.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 13.8% | 6.2% | −7.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 45.4% | 39.0% | −6.4 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 27.7% | 34.1% | +6.4 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 12.5% | 6.4% | −6.1 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 5.5% | 10.7% | +5.1 |
