Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Newcastle with a 12.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 30.6% | 36.9% | +6.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 14.1% | 7.9% | −6.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 14.8% | 8.9% | −6.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 21.5% | 15.9% | −5.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.1% | 23.5% | −5.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 17.2% | 22.6% | +5.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 79.0% | 84.4% | +5.4 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 60.0% | 65.2% | +5.2 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 13.8% | 9.0% | −4.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 38.7% | 34.1% | −4.5 |
