Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 5 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Newcastle with a 21.3% chance, Southampton beat Queens Park Rangers with a 21.8% chance, Reading beat Everton with a 18.3% chance, Norwich City beat Manchester United with a 22.2% chance, and Sunderland beat Fulham with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 27.8% | 42.6% | +14.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 34.1% | 47.7% | +13.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 47.1% | 34.5% | −12.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 65.2% | 77.6% | +12.4 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 33.5% | 43.1% | +9.7 |
| Reading | Relegation | 51.2% | 41.6% | −9.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 36.9% | 27.6% | −9.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 75.1% | 65.8% | −9.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 22.6% | 30.6% | +8.0 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 19.4% | 27.2% | +7.8 |
