Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Sunderland with a 16.6% chance and Wigan Athletic beat Tottenham with a 10.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 33.1% | 42.9% | +9.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 38.4% | 29.3% | −9.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 37.5% | 29.1% | −8.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 68.6% | 76.2% | +7.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 23.5% | 16.7% | −6.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 82.9% | 88.9% | +6.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 11.5% | 17.2% | +5.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 20.1% | 15.2% | −4.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 43.2% | 38.7% | −4.6 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 9.4% | 13.8% | +4.5 |
