Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Sunderland with a 22.9% chance, Liverpool beat Arsenal with a 23.3% chance, and Queens Park Rangers beat Everton with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 26.2% | 38.7% | +12.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 57.4% | 69.4% | +12.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 34.9% | 23.2% | −11.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.9% | 24.2% | −10.7 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 45.5% | 34.8% | −10.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 20.1% | 29.4% | +9.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 28.4% | 19.1% | −9.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 27.0% | 36.0% | +9.0 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 20.0% | 11.7% | −8.2 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 21.2% | 13.2% | −8.0 |
