Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Blackburn Rovers with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on January 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 42.0% | 99.4% | +57.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.2% | 91.7% | +57.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 12.2% | 67.0% | +54.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 50.5% | 96.6% | +46.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 26.8% | 68.0% | +41.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 44.4% | 8.1% | −36.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 14.4% | 48.6% | +34.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 23.1% | 56.6% | +33.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 39.6% | 6.2% | −33.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 18.9% | 52.2% | +33.3 |
