Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Stoke City with a 18.0% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 17 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Wigan AthleticRelegation70.4%0%−70.4
Birmingham CityRelegation40.4%100%+59.6
BlackpoolRelegation83.7%100%+16.3
WolverhamptonRelegation3.3%0%−3.3
Home 37.9%
Draw 29.1%
Away 33.1%
Home 31.8%
Draw 28.4%
Away 39.8%
Home 33.3%
Draw 29.2%
Away 37.6%
Home 33.9%
Draw 29.4%
Away 36.7%
Home 75.3%
Draw 18.2%
Away 6.5%
Home 53.0%
Draw 24.4%
Away 22.6%
Home 59.5%
Draw 22.5%
Away 18.0%
Home 63.1%
Draw 21.5%
Away 15.4%
Home 39.5%
Draw 28.5%
Away 32.0%
Home 39.0%
Draw 28.7%
Away 32.3%