Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Sunderland with a 19.4% chance, Aston Villa beat Arsenal with a 13.7% chance, and Tottenham beat Liverpool with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 44.7% | 3.3% | −41.4 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 4.2% | 40.4% | +36.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 93.7% | 100% | +6.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 6.0% | 2.3% | −3.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 96.4% | 100% | +3.6 |
| Everton | Europa League | 3.6% | 0% | −3.6 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 80.6% | 83.7% | +3.1 |
