Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Aston Villa with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 9 (before the first match) against those on March 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Europa League | 43.9% | 67.2% | +23.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 55.7% | 37.2% | −18.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 34.0% | 22.1% | −11.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 59.8% | 71.3% | +11.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 17.2% | 28.4% | +11.1 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 14.7% | 4.5% | −10.2 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 79.4% | 70.8% | −8.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 6.1% | 14.6% | +8.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 19.3% | 11.0% | −8.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 87.2% | 95.3% | +8.1 |
