Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Birmingham City with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 57.8% | 36.8% | −21.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 59.0% | 40.2% | −18.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 29.5% | 42.3% | +12.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 48.9% | 36.5% | −12.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 49.4% | 61.3% | +11.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 9.4% | 20.6% | +11.3 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 21.5% | 32.3% | +10.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 72.1% | 79.4% | +7.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 80.2% | 87.0% | +6.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 19.6% | 12.9% | −6.7 |
