Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Aston Villa with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 43.7% | 25.5% | −18.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 40.5% | 24.4% | −16.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 31.2% | 43.0% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 38.9% | 49.5% | +10.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 48.0% | 37.8% | −10.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 38.9% | 48.9% | +10.0 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 25.4% | 34.8% | +9.4 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 37.0% | 46.1% | +9.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 23.0% | 14.0% | −9.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.3% | 70.4% | +8.1 |
