Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackpool beat Wigan Athletic with a 18.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
BlackpoolRelegation44.1%25.4%−18.7
ChelseaChampions League50.8%62.3%+11.5
Manchester UnitedChampions League45.1%56.6%+11.5
Wigan AthleticRelegation26.4%37.0%+10.5
Aston VillaChampions League31.1%40.5%+9.4
West Bromwich AlbionRelegation39.1%48.0%+8.9
NewcastleRelegation35.2%43.7%+8.5
WolverhamptonRelegation22.6%15.3%−7.3
West HamRelegation31.7%38.9%+7.2
ChelseaChampion16.4%23.5%+7.0
Home 50.1%
Draw 25.2%
Away 24.6%
Home 69.3%
Draw 19.8%
Away 10.9%
Home 43.9%
Draw 27.1%
Away 29.0%
Home 43.3%
Draw 27.3%
Away 29.4%
Home 38.9%
Draw 28.7%
Away 32.4%
Home 59.3%
Draw 22.6%
Away 18.1%
Home 38.2%
Draw 28.9%
Away 32.8%
Home 76.2%
Draw 18.0%
Away 5.8%
Home 40.4%
Draw 28.2%
Away 31.4%
Home 74.4%
Draw 18.4%
Away 7.1%