Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Wigan Athletic with a 9.8% chance and Burnley beat Manchester United with a 8.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on March 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 20.5% | >99.9% | +79.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 49.1% | >99.9% | +50.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 47.7% | <0.1% | −47.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 54.7% | >99.9% | +45.2 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 47.8% | 6.2% | −41.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 59.5% | >99.9% | +40.5 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 35.4% | 73.9% | +38.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 17.7% | 53.5% | +35.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 13.2% | 47.7% | +34.5 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 14.2% | 47.4% | +33.2 |
