Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Everton with a 14.9% chance and Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 50.2% | 34.6% | −15.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.9% | 56.8% | +11.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 57.4% | 68.9% | +11.6 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 30.9% | 19.8% | −11.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 47.1% | 36.5% | −10.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 46.0% | 36.4% | −9.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.5% | 27.5% | +9.0 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 26.5% | 35.3% | +8.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 21.5% | 13.4% | −8.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 56.9% | 64.9% | +8.0 |
