Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Aston Villa with a 18.6% chance and Sunderland beat Bolton Wanderers with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 36.6% | 21.4% | −15.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 31.9% | 18.0% | −13.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 42.1% | 54.7% | +12.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 52.6% | 40.4% | −12.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 27.6% | 17.6% | −9.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 22.0% | 29.9% | +7.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 39.9% | 47.8% | +7.9 |
| Wigan Athletic | Champions League | 12.0% | 19.4% | +7.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 18.8% | 25.6% | +6.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 16.5% | 9.8% | −6.6 |
